I have always been interested in better forecasting. Before starting my 26 years with the FAA, I was with a consulting company for several years and before that with Black & Decker Manufacturing. Reminiscing about my time at Black & Manufacturing. Reminiscing about my time at Black & Manufacturing, I was just out of college and was employed in market research. I was not a forecaster. The forecasting group was housed in adjacent office space. I frequently looked covetously over at the forecasting group, and I mentioned to Phil Dolan, who was both my supervisor and mentor, my interest in forecasting. He was very kind, but also very stage, saying, "Well, that is very good, but if you decide you really want to be a forecaster, just make sure you can run faster than the numbers catch up with you." That was my introduction to one philosophical approach to forecasting. It is important to remember that there are limitations to forecasting.
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