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Power System Short-Term Load Combined Forecasting Approach Based on Sectional Simulation Forecasting Method

机译:基于分段模拟预测方法的电力系统短期负荷组合预测方法

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Power system short term load forecasting is very sensitive to the disturbance factors in the day load,which could not obtain the desired optimal results.In order to solve such problems,this paper proposes sectional simulation forecasting method.This paper takes a certain area as an example and demonstrates sectional simulation forecasting method by analyzing the characteristics from daily load of this area,and compare sectional simulation forecasting method with conventional method for short term load forecasting effect.It`s easy to see,sectional simulation forecasting method,by contrast,is obviously superior to the conventional method of short-term load forecasting,and meets the power system load forecasting personnel`s demands much better.
机译:电力系统短期负荷预测对日负荷中的干扰因素非常敏感,无法获得理想的最优结果。为解决此类问题,本文提出了分段模拟预测方法。实例,通过分析该地区日负荷特征,论证了断面模拟预测方法,并将断面模拟预测方法与常规方法进行了比较,以期达到短期负荷预测效果。显然优于传统的短期负荷预测方法,并且可以更好地满足电力系统负荷预测人员的需求。

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