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Sequential multi-sensor change-point detection

机译:顺序多传感器变化点检测

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We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to be independent standard normal random variables. After a change-point the observations in a subset of the streams of data have non-zero mean values. The subset and the post-change means are unknown. The procedure we study uses stream specific generalized likelihood ratio statistics, which are combined to form an overall detection statistic in a mixture model that hypothesizes an assumed fraction p0 of affected data streams. An analytic expression is obtained for the average run length (ARL) when there is no change and is shown by simulations to be very accurate. Similarly, an approximation for the expected detection delay (EDD) after a change-point is also obtained. Numerical examples are given to compare the suggested procedure to other procedures for unstructured problems and in one case where the problem is assumed to have a well defined geometric structure. Finally we discuss sensitivity of the procedure to the assumed value of p0 and suggest a generalization.
机译:我们开发了一种混合过程,以监视并行数据流的变化点,该变化点仅影响其中的一个子集,而无需假设将数据流彼此关联的空间结构。最初假设观测值是独立的标准正态随机变量。在更改点之后,数据流子集中的观测值具有非零平均值。子集和变更后的方式未知。我们研究的过程使用特定于流的广义似然比统计量,这些统计量组合起来构成一个混合模型中的整体检测统计量,该模型假设受影响数据流的假定比例p 0 。在没有变化的情况下,可以获得平均行程长度(ARL)的解析表达式,并且通过仿真显示非常准确。类似地,还获得了变化点之后的预期检测延迟(EDD)的近似值。给出了数值示例,以将建议的过程与其他针对非结构化问题的过程进行比较,并且在一种情况下,假定问题具有良好定义的几何结构。最后,我们讨论了该过程对p 0 假定值的敏感性,并提出了一个概括。

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