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A RECONSTRUCTION OF EMISSIONS; PATHWAYS AND DEPOSITIONS OF GASOLINE LEAD IN EUROPE, 1958-1997

机译:排放物的重建; 1958-1997年欧洲汽油铅的运输途径和沉积

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摘要

After decades of regulating the emission of anthropogenic substances into the environment, a retrospective analysis of their effects is informative, as it allows determining the actual costs and benefits related to the regulations. As a first example we have considered the case of gasoline lead in Europe. With the help of a regional climate model, NCEP re-analyses, spatially disaggregated lead emissions from road traffic and other sources, and various local data, an attempt was made to reconstruct the airborne pathway and deposition of gasoline lead in Europe since 1958. It turns out that this approach is successful in describing the time-variable, spatially disaggregated deposition of gasoline lead. Additional data from analyses of concentrations in, for instance, leaves, mussels and human blood, allows an assessment about the impact of the phasing-out of lead on the quality of the environment. Demonstrating the success of the lead policy, the concentrations in leaves and human blood has steadily declined since the early 1980s, whereas the concentration in mussels along the North Sea coast is unaffected.
机译:在对人为排放物向环境的排放进行了数十年的监管之后,对其影响进行回顾性分析是有益的,因为它可以确定与法规相关的实际成本和收益。作为第一个例子,我们考虑了欧洲汽油中铅的情况。借助区域气候模型,NCEP进行重新分析,对道路交通和其他来源的铅排放进行空间分解以及各种本地数据,人们尝试重建自1958年以来欧洲的空气传播途径和汽油铅的沉积。事实证明,这种方法成功地描述了随时间变化,空间分解的汽油铅沉积。来自例如叶子,贻贝和人体血液中浓度的分析的其他数据可以评估铅的逐步淘汰对环境质量的影响。自1980年代初以来,叶片和人体血液中的浓度一直在稳步下降,这证明了领先政策的成功,而北海沿岸的贻贝中的浓度却未受影响。

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