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The challenge of Low-Carbon-Vehicle (LCV) adoption in an oil driven economy; Nigerian's story

机译:在石油驱动的经济中采用低碳汽车(LCV)的挑战;尼日利亚的故事

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The aim of this study is to investigate the level of interest in Low-Carbon Vehicles (LCVs) adoption from the perspectives of some opinion leaders and policy makers. Nigeria, being an oil led developing economy, is arguably perceived to be one of the countries which would probably not want to join the global transitions towards a low carbon economy. This is not an unexpected opposition to LCV adoption as it would result in a loss in her major source of foreign earnings and that such an adoption path would be highly capital intensive for such a struggling economy. A survey through questionnaires was conducted among 102 energy experts in attendance at a workshop in Abuja, Nigeria. The responses reveal that 8095% of the respondents foresee that the penetration of all LVC variations (e.g. hybrids and all electric) would occur within 50 years. The survey results acknowledged the diverse challenges facing the country, yet surprisingly; it projected the likely adoption of all electric and fuel cell vehicles within an incredible timeframe of 20 years from 2015. This projected timeframe appears highly ambitious, given the current level of preparation expected of the existing early players in the LCV adoption market. Yet this expectation is akin to what is already being witnessed in the telecommunication sector, where Nigeria's economic performance became massively boosted because of its prompt participation in the sector in spite of its weak preparedness. The study also reveals the barriers and the benefits of LCV adoption, which must be considered during policy formulation. The result of the study has provided policy makers in Nigeria the support base for strategic policy planning towards a less carbon economy in the transport sector. The policy responses would not be only in R&D, infrastructure development but also creating alternative pathways for revenue generation and oil utilisation.
机译:这项研究的目的是从一些意见领袖和政策制定者的角度调查对低碳汽车(LCV)采用的兴趣水平。尼日利亚是一个以石油为主导的发展中经济体,可以说被认为是可能不想加入向低碳经济过渡的国家之一。这并不是反对采用LCV的意料之外的反对,因为这将导致她的主要外国收入来源流失,而且对于这样艰难的经济,这种采用途径将是高度资本密集型的​​。在尼日利亚阿布贾举行的一次研讨会上,对102位能源专家进行了问卷调查。答复显示,8095%的受访者预见到所有LVC变体(例如混合动力车和所有电动汽车)的渗透都将在50年内发生。调查结果承认了该国面临的各种挑战,但令人惊讶。它预计从2015年开始的20年内,将在所有不可思议的时间范围内采用所有电动和燃料电池汽车。考虑到LCV采用市场中现有早期参与者的当前准备水平,该预计时间范围似乎雄心勃勃。然而,这种期望与电信行业已经看到的情况相似。尼日利亚尽管准备不足,但由于其迅速参与该行业而大大提高了尼日利亚的经济表现。该研究还揭示了采用LCV的障碍和好处,这在制定政策时必须予以考虑。研究的结果为尼日利亚的决策者提供了为交通部门减少碳经济而进行战略政策规划的支持基础。政策回应不仅将在研发,基础设施开发方面,而且还将为创收和石油利用创造替代途径。

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