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A RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL AND METHOD OF MAJOR AEROSPACE PROJECTS

机译:大型航空航天项目的风险评估模型和方法

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摘要

A “five-claw” model which is based on the idea of riskrnprofile in NASA, common risk sources of equipmentrndevelopment in GJB 5852-2006 and “nine-new” analysisrnmethod in CASC is put forward. The “five-claw” riskrnassessment model uses design & test, manufacturing,rnbasic parts & general parts to describe aerospacernprojects’ risk. In order to assess the extent of a riskrndescribed by this new model, a semi-quantitative methodrnis put forward. It could avoid lacking objectivity ofrnqualitative method and the difficulty in data-obtaining ofrnquantitative method. Although the model and methodrnpresent in this paper may not be fully practical in majorrnaerospace projects, it just provides a new idea for riskrnassessment during the development of major aerospacernprojects
机译:提出了一种基于美国国家航空航天局风险简介,GJB 5852-2006中设备开发的常见风险源以及中国航天工业集团公司的“九新”分析方法的“五爪”模型。 “五爪”风险评估模型使用设计和测试,制造,基本零件和通用零件来描述航空航天项目的风险。为了评估该新模型描述的风险程度,提出了一种半定量方法。它可以避免缺乏定性方法的客观性和定量方法的数据获取困难。尽管本文提出的模型和方法在大型航空航天项目中可能并不完全实用,但它只是为大型航空航天项目的开发过程中的风险评估提供了新思路。

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  • 来源
  • 会议地点 Versailles(FR)
  • 作者单位

    China Astronautics Standards Institute, No.89 Xiaotun Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, P.R.China, 100071 jinbaidong@163.com;

    China Astronautics Standards Institute, No.89 Xiaotun Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, P.R.China, 100071 vital_liu@yahoo.cn;

    China Astronautics Standards Institute, No.89 Xiaotun Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, P.R.China, 100071 lifuqiu2004@126.com;

    China Astronautics Standards Institute, No.89 Xiaotun Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, P.R.China, 100071 Chenfengxi1888@sina.com;

  • 会议组织
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    risk assessment; risk elements; semi-quantitative assessment method; maturity model; readiness levels;

    机译:风险评估;风险要素;半定量评估方法;成熟度模型;准备水平;

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