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Risk Assesment of New Terrorist Threats Life Cycles

机译：新恐怖威胁生命周期的风险评估

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Computer-aided system for dynamic modeling of new terrorist threats is introduced for evaluation of European operating life cycles of new terrorist threats, emerging from quite new terror events. This well-knited system is created by DYVELOP© method and it has an expert system chareacteristics using instruments of MS WORD. Current appearance and incidence of new global threat's domains and their operation asks new approaches in the processes, serving to the investigation, assessment, and abating of these threats within their life cycles. Here the dependence of risk rate at real time in the operation need defined environment as event principal domain. This situation indicates the problem priorities of never-ending investigative security research, forensic engineering practice and crisis/emergency management. They must develop, implement and use more exact and predictable quantitative and qualitative rational indicators of crime domains, participants and actors behaviour aiming to their situation awareness and more effective rating technologies. Such the behaviour needs new capabilities not only control/regulation/executive processes, systems, persons and organizations, but even rating technologies and procedures. New behaviour of relevant entities in human corporations needs new approaches within rating, assessment and evaluation of the threats, hazards, perils, dangers, risks and feedback incidence. This paper outlines functions and processes performance of the FRs and their management at Terror Threats Life Cycles, which aim is exact risk assesment. Here are displayed new approaches and mathematical dependences of the operational algorithm process characteristics and actor's behaviour at the crisis interfaces of terror performed scene. It can contribute to more exact and objective providing of forensics services. It helps to clarification and to recognizing the roles of others process actors in the future. Risk rating modelling at Threat Life Cycles needs live PowerPoint presentation; which will be dramatized in Zlin, Tomas Bata University, Czech Republic, September 20-22, 2012 at 1st WSEAS International Conference RIMA '12. Paper theme fully correspond with EC FP 7 CAST project.
机译：引入了用于对新恐怖威胁进行动态建模的计算机辅助系统，以评估新恐怖事件产生的欧洲新恐怖威胁的工作生命周期。这个精心编织的系统是使用DYVELOP©方法创建的，并且使用MS WORD的工具具有专家系统的特征。新的全球威胁域及其操作的当前出现和发生率要求在流程中采用新的方法，以便在其生命周期内对这些威胁进行调查，评估和缓解。这里，操作中实时风险率的依赖性需要将环境定义为事件主体域。这种情况表明了永无止境的调查性安全研究，法医工程实践和危机/紧急情况管理的优先事项。他们必须开发，实施和使用更准确和可预测的犯罪领域，参与者和行为者行为的定量和定性的理性指标，旨在了解他们的情况，并采用更有效的评级技术。这种行为不仅需要控制/调节/执行过程，系统，人员和组织的新功能，还需要对技术和程序进行评级。人类公司中相关实体的新行为需要在威胁，危害，危险，危险，风险和反馈发生率的评级，评估和评估中采用新方法。本文概述了恐怖威胁生命周期中FR的功能和流程性能及其管理，其目标是准确的风险评估。这里显示了在恐怖表演场景的危机界面上运算算法过程特征和演员行为的新方法和数学依赖性。它可以有助于更准确和客观地提供取证服务。它有助于澄清和认识将来其他过程参与者的角色。威胁生命周期中的风险评级建模需要实时的PowerPoint演示文稿；将于2012年9月20日至22日在捷克共和国的托马斯巴塔大学Zlin举行的第一届WSEAS国际会议RIMA '12上进行播放。论文主题完全符合EC FP 7 CAST项目。

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