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Growing and Declining of Aged Population Asymmetric Real Estate Price Reactions:The Proof of China

机译:老年人口不对称房地产价格反应的增长和下降:中国的证明

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The population of China will be to undergo considerable perma-nent reduction because of aging significantly and a low fertility rate by 2050. After discussing different factors which induced the real estate price fluctuation of China , this paper proposes a mixed model to analyze the re-lations between the change of aged population with housing price. The em-pirical result indicates that asymmetric price reactions: growth in aged population numbers has not significantly lowered prices, whereas declining in aged population has a significant effect on price .The paper gives the guide about how to choose the balance between aged population with real estate price.
机译:到2050年,由于人口老龄化和低生育率,中国的人口将永久减少。在讨论了导致中国房地产价格波动的各种因素之后,本文提出了一种混合模型来分析房地产价格的波动。老年人口的变化与房价之间的关系。实证结果表明,价格反应是不对称的:老年人口数量的增长并没有显着降低价格,而老年人口的下降对价格有显着影响。本文为如何选择老年人口与实际人口之间的平衡提供了指导。房地产价格。

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