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Long-term Alternative Fuels Scenarios

机译:长期替代燃料方案

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摘要

Alternative fuels have been proposed as one of the solutions to significantly reduce the Greenhouse Gas footprint of aviation over longer time future timeframes. This modeling approach attempts to quantify alternative fuels quantities that the US market will support in a given time frame for specific marginal cost functions for the different alternative fuels production pathways that currently seem viable. The modeling approach uses the approach of a Cournot-Nash equilibrium oligopoly model that represents each of the production pathways as a competing firm with a specific marginal cost trade-off function. The model chooses the best market response of each firm that maximizes the payoff of each competing firm. The result is a fuel quantity of each production pathway at a given market clearing price. Additionally, a number of sensitiies that explore the sentivity to assumptions such as fuel price, elasticities, and assumed technology improvements were studied.
机译:已提出替代燃料,作为在更长的未来时间内显着减少航空温室气体足迹的解决方案之一。这种建模方法试图量化美国市场将在给定的时间范围内支持的替代燃料数量,以用于当前看来可行的不同替代燃料生产路径的特定边际成本函数。建模方法使用古诺-纳什均衡寡头模型的方法,该模型将每个生产路径表示为具有特定边际成本权衡函数的竞争公司。该模型选择每个公司的最佳市场反应,从而使每个竞争公司的收益最大化。结果是在给定的市场清算价格下每个生产路径的燃料量。此外,还研究了许多对假设(如燃油价格,弹性和假设的技术改进)的敏感度的敏感性。

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  • 来源
  • 会议地点 Atlanta GA(US)
  • 作者单位

    School of Aerospace Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332-0150;

    School of Aerospace Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332-0150;

    School of Aerospace Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332-0150;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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