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首页> 外文会议>Canadian Hydrogen Conference: Building the Hydrogen Economy v.1; 20010617-20010620; Victoria; CA >ELECTRIC POWER REQUIREMENT FOR LARGE-SCALE PRODUCTION OF HYDROGEN FUEL FOR THE WORLD VEHICLE FLEET
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ELECTRIC POWER REQUIREMENT FOR LARGE-SCALE PRODUCTION OF HYDROGEN FUEL FOR THE WORLD VEHICLE FLEET

机译：大规模生产世界车用氢气燃料的电力需求

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摘要

Replacement of fossil fuels by hydrogen in motor vehicles throughout the world, likely to occur over the next 50 years as mass production of fuel-cell engines accelerates, will require a concomitant growth of large-scale production of hydrogen fuel. Electrolysis of water may become the primary means to produce hydrogen in sufficient quantity. Unlike petroleum production, which is concentrated in only a few well-endowed countries in the world, large-scale electrolysis can be carried out in all countries as an indigenous source of fuel. However, each nation will require a significant increase in the rate of electric energy consumption and a concomitant increase in electric power generating facilities. A dynamic model was used to estimate the increased annual total electric energy requirement to sustain long-term growth of hydrogen fuel production in two time sequences. In the first sequence, from 2000 to 2010, when a fuel-cell engine industry is likely to expand rapidly, extrapolation of historic data on world population, vehicle, traffic, and energy statistics from official agencies provides the initial conditions in year 2010 for the second time sequence. The model examines a range of growth scenarios to the year 2050 when a significant fraction of the total world vehicle fleet could be operated with hydrogen fuel. The model calculations show that even with improved energy consumption efficiency of electrolytic production facilities, the additional electric energy demand to sustain replacement growth of hydrogen fuel in the fleet will require installation of significant additional electric power generating capacity throughout the world.
机译：随着燃料电池发动机大规模生产的加速，在未来50年内，全球范围内的汽车中可能会用氢气替代化石燃料，这将伴随着大规模氢燃料生产的增长。水的电解可能成为产生足够量氢的主要手段。与仅在世界上少数富裕国家集中的石油生产不同，大规模电解可作为一种本地燃料来源在所有国家中进行。但是，每个国家都将要求大大提高电能消耗率，并随之增加发电设施。使用动态模型来估算增加的年度总电能需求，以维持氢燃料产量在两个时间序列中的长期增长。首先，从2000年到2010年，当燃料电池发动机产业可能迅速发展时，官方机构对世界人口，车辆，交通和能源统计数据的历史数据进行推断，为2010年提供了初步条件。第二时间顺序。该模型研究了到2050年的一系列增长情景，届时全球车辆总数的很大一部分都可以使用氢燃料运行。模型计算表明，即使提高了电解生产设施的能源消耗效率，为维持车队中氢燃料替代增长所需的额外电能需求也将需要在全球范围内安装大量的额外发电能力。

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