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Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation of China's Provincial Pollution and Research on Influencing Factors

机译：中国省级污染动态综合评价及影响因素研究

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摘要

Since it was difficult for a single pollutant to reflect the environmental pollution situation, this paper proposed the pollution emission index, which could represent the overall state of the environment. The paper applied a dynamic objective comprehensive evaluation method, which was based on the overall differences, to evaluate the emissions of China's 28 provinces from 1995 to 2006. This paper analyzed the trend of China's and its regional emission index, and examined the influencing factors with the method of Panel Data Model from the perspective of economic structure and energy factors. The analysis showed that to achieve the binding goal in the "Eleventh Five-Year" plan, that is to reduce the main pollutants by 10% when comparing 2010 with 2006, from the view of the three main regions, the monitoring should focus on the eastern region; from the view of provincial regions, Hebei, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Shandong, Sichuan, Henan, Shanxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Hubei, Hunan etc. should intensify efforts to control the pollutant emissions. The paper found that pollutant emissions could be reduced through improving the efficiency of energy use, developing energy price system in line with market mechanisms, increasing trade openness and lowering the proportion of coal consumption in energy consumption.
机译：由于单一污染物难以反映环境污染状况，本文提出了污染排放指数，可以代表环境的总体状况。本文采用了基于总体差异的动态客观综合评价方法，对中国28个省份1995年至2006年的排放量进行了评估。本文分析了中国的趋势及其区域排放指数，并考察了影响因素。经济结构和能源因素角度的面板数据模型方法。分析表明，要实现“十一五”规划的约束目标，即与2010年相比，将主要污染物排放量与2006年相比减少10％，从三个主要区域的角度来看，监测应重点关注东部地区;从省区来看，河北，江苏，辽宁，山东，四川，河南，山西，广东，浙江，湖北，湖南等应加大污染物排放控制力度。本文发现，可以通过提高能源利用效率，建立符合市场机制的能源价格体系，增加贸易开放度以及降低煤炭消耗在能源消耗中的比例来减少污染物排放。

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