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Web Performance Forecasting with Kriging Method

机译：克里金法的Web性能预测

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摘要

Due to the substantial growth of communication network in last years, the access to the Internet network is crucial for the society. Therefore, there is a necessity of research on Web systems forecasting. This work presents a proposal of the application of the geostatistical estimation - the Kriging method, which give spatio-temporal information about forecast of network throughput. The database was created on the basis of Multiagent Internet Measurement System MWING. In the research the connections between an agent in Gdansk and European servers were considered. The preliminary structural analysis of the data, which are necessary to use the Kriging method was conducted. Next a spatial forecast of the total time of downloading data from Web servers with a four days time advance was calculated. The results were analyzed and compared with other simulation methods results from the same database.
机译：由于近年来通信网络的大量增长，访问Internet网络对社会至关重要。因此，有必要对Web系统的预测进行研究。这项工作提出了应用地统计估计的提议-Kriging方法，该方法提供了有关网络吞吐量预测的时空信息。该数据库是基于Multiagent Internet Measurement System MWING创建的。在研究中，考虑了格但斯克的代理与欧洲服务器之间的连接。进行了数据的初步结构分析，这对于使用Kriging方法是必需的。接下来，计算了从Web服务器下载数据的总时间（提前四天）的空间预测。分析结果并将其与同一数据库中的其他模拟方法结果进行比较。

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