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Integrating Geographic Information Systems and Ecological Niche Modeling into Disease Ecology: A Case Study of Bacillus anthracis in the United States and Mexico

机译:将地理信息系统和生态位建模整合到疾病生态中:以美国和墨西哥的炭疽芽孢杆菌为例

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This chapter provides an overview of geographic information systems, spatial analysis and spatial statistics, and predictive ecological niche modeling as they apply to disease ecology. I provide a conceptual model of the epidemiology and outbreak ecology of anthrax and the landscape ecology of the pathogen Bacillus anthracis. I apply Anselin's exploratory spatial data analysis process to these two components of the anthrax-transmission and spore-survival model. Spatial clustering statistics are reviewed in the context of outbreak epidemiology and potential mechanical vector transmission. I then provide a primer on ecological niche theory and apply ecological niche modeling to estimate the potential geographic distribution of B. anthracis on the landscape of the contiguous United States under current and future climate scenarios and to estimate the unknown distribution of B. anthracis in Mexico.
机译:本章概述了应用于疾病生态学的地理信息系统,空间分析和空间统计以及预测性生态位建模。我提供了炭疽病的流行病学和暴发生态学以及炭疽杆菌病原体的景观生态学的概念模型。我将炭素的探索性空间数据分析过程应用于炭疽传播和孢子存活模型的这两个部分。在爆发流行病学和潜在的机械媒介传播的背景下审查了空间聚类统计。然后,我提供了生态位理论的入门知识,并应用生态位模型来估计在当前和未来气候情景下,美国连续地带上炭疽杆菌的潜在地理分布,并估计墨西哥的炭疽杆菌的未知分布。 。

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