RISK ASSESSMENT IN PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT

机译：产品开发中的风险评估

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To assess the impact of risk on decisions during the development of products or systems is very important. The traditional way tends to make predictions quantitatively for the product design and manufacture phases but not to extend them to the service phase. This research presents a novel application of Monte Carlo simulation to modelling the whole life cycle of a product and imitating the behaviour and characteristics of products in the future use. Through modelling, a comparison of the products with and without new features is made, and the risks and benefits from the new features are quantified and assessed. The model is applied to a refrigeration system with new features called Elima, showing that it can be used to help managers in risk-assessing for the product development.

机译：在产品或系统开发过程中评估风险对决策的影响非常重要。传统方法倾向于对产品设计和制造阶段进行定量预测，而不是将其扩展到服务阶段。这项研究提出了一种新的蒙特卡罗模拟应用，可用于对产品的整个生命周期进行建模并模仿产品在未来使用中的行为和特征。通过建模，可以比较具有和不具有新功能的产品，并对新功能的风险和收益进行量化和评估。该模型已应用于具有Elima新功能的制冷系统，表明该模型可用于帮助管理人员进行产品开发的风险评估。

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来源
《First international conference on technology innovation, risk management and supply chain management (TIRMSCM 2007)》|2007年|1-5|
会议地点 Beijing(CN);Beijing(CN)
作者
Wern-Ho Sheen; rnGordon L.St(u)ber;
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作者单位

National Chung Cheng University,Taiwan,ROC;

rnGeorgia Institute of Technology,USA;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种
中图分类企业经济;
关键词
Risk; Monte Carlo; Product development; Cost;

机译：风险;蒙特卡洛;产品开发;成本;

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RISK ASSESSMENT IN PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT

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