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Optimal and Real-time Water Resources Management Model

机译:最优实时水资源管理模型

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摘要

From viewpoint of control, the water resources system is divided into controllable parts and uncontrollable parts, and mathematical models are put forward for water demand forecast, water allocation, reservoir dispatch, river channel evolution, and so on. Through the simulation-optimization coupling method and non-linear planning, the integrity of the sub-models and optimistic control of the dispatch system are realized, and a model system is structured for the water dispatch of the river basin. Online identification and feedback ensure system operation stable. The system, combining with model storehouse and database, was applied to develop a plan management system for the water dispatch of the Yellow River Basin, which has been used in the dispatch work since 2003. The result of operation in 2004 - 2005 shows that the average deviation of reservoir dispatch is controlled within 10% while nearly 80% of cross-section flow deviation is less than 20% with an average deviation of 16%.
机译:从控制的角度出发,将水资源系统分为可控部分和不可控部分,并提出了需水量预测,配水量,水库调度,河道演变等数学模型。通过仿真-优化耦合方法和非线性规划,实现了子模型的完整性和调度系统的最优控制,构建了流域调水模型系统。在线识别和反馈确保系统运行稳定。将该系统与模型库和数据库相结合,用于开发黄河流域水调度计划管理系统,该系统已于2003年投入调度。2004年至2005年的运行结果表明,水库调度的平均偏差控制在10%以内,而截面流量偏差的近80%小于20%,平均偏差为16%。

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