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Scenario Analysis of Water Allocation Based on ET Control in Haihe River Basin

机译:基于ET控制的海河流域水资源分配情景分析。

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摘要

Rational water allocation is important branch of decision making on water planning and management in Haihe River Basin. Considering condition of water scarcity in Haihe River Basin, ET quota is taken as objective for water allocation in provinces to realize the requirement of water inflow into the Bohai Sea. To make qualified ET distribution and water allocation in various regions, a framework is put forward in this paper, in which two models are applied to analyze the different scenarios with predefined economic growth and ecological objective. The first model figures out rational ET objective with multi-objective analysis for compromised solution in economic growth and ecological maintenance. The second one provides hydraulic simulation and water balance to allocation the Et objective to corresponding regions under operational rules. The scenario analysis could discover the relations between economy and ecology.
机译:合理配水是海河流域水资源规划与管理决策的重要分支。考虑到海河流域缺水的情况,以ET配额作为省份配水的目标,以实现对渤海的入水需求。为了使各地区的ET分配和水量分配合格,本文提出了一个框架,在该框架中,使用两种模型来分析具有预定经济增长和生态目标的不同情景。第一个模型通过多目标分析找出合理的ET目标,以解决经济增长和生态维护方面的折衷解决方案。第二个提供水力模拟和水平衡,以根据操作规则将Et目标分配给相应区域。情景分析可以发现经济与生态之间的关系。

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