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Emergence : Open Your Eyes to New Vistas

机译：出现：睁开眼睛向新的远景

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摘要

A paper presented at INCOSE 2000 (McConnell, 2000) outlined some of the issues which arise as Systems Engineers grapple with the emergent behaviour, properties and capabilities which complex systems exhibit. Using traditional methods of modelling in the traditional way often results in an inability to understand why the emergences happen, when they will occur or how to minimise their impact.rnThis paper builds on that introduction and offers for consideration the idea that the most fundamental thing which must be done is to avoid the trap of viewing the system only from the perspective that the Systems Engineer feels most comfortable with. While it is not possible to remove all problems this way, some of the difficulties can be ameliorated by the judicious use of currently available modelling techniques. The paper also suggests a new perspective on modelling itself -modelling for understanding rather than modelling for prediction.
机译：在INCOSE 2000（McConnell，2000）上发表的一篇论文概述了系统工程师努力应对复杂系统表现出的新兴行为，特性和功能时出现的一些问题。以传统方式使用传统建模方法通常会导致无法了解出现原因，何时发生或如何将其影响最小化。rn本文以该介绍为基础，并考虑了最根本的问题必须做的是避免仅从系统工程师最满意的角度查看系统的陷阱。尽管不可能以这种方式消除所有问题，但明智地使用当前可用的建模技术可以缓解某些困难。本文还提出了一种关于建模本身的新观点-建模用于理解而不是建模用于预测。

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