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Fault Tree logical-Probabilistic Method of Wind-Diesel Complex Reliability Analysis

机译:柴油机可靠性分析的故障树逻辑概率方法

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The reliability analysis of off-grid electric power supply systems basing on renewables is the relevant practical task requiring the solution. However, there are a number of problems bounding on stochastic character of natural resources in the reliability analysis of electric installations with such energy sources. The operating of the wind power installations applied in the off-grid power supply systems depends on the potential of the wind resources with a variable character. The logical-probabilistic method of a fault tree allowing to consider changes of wind speed, to use the dynamic operators reflecting dependence of serial events of elements' failures and dynamic management of reservation is offered in this article for the reliability analysis of the wind-diesel complex. The reliability research of the wind-diesel complex functioning in the system of independent power supply of the settlement in the northern parts of Krasnoyarsk territory is made by means of the offered method.
机译:基于可再生能源的离网供电系统的可靠性分析是需要解决方案的相关实际任务。然而,在具有这种能源的电力装置的可靠性分析中,存在许多关于自然资源的随机性的问题。离网供电系统中使用的风力发电设备的运行取决于风能具有可变特征的潜力。本文提供了一种故障树的逻辑概率方法,该方法允许考虑风速的变化,使用反映元素故障的序列事件的依赖性的动态算子,并对保留的动态管理进行动态柴油机的可靠性分析。复杂。利用所提供的方法,对克拉斯诺亚尔斯克地区北部居民区独立供电系统中的风能柴油机进行了可靠性研究。

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