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Prediction of Evacuation Time in Radiological Emergency using Fuzzy System

机译:基于模糊系统的放射应急疏散时间预测

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摘要

A method for assessing the effectiveness of protective actions against a nuclear accident has been developed by means of the concept of fuzzy theory. The method is applied for assessing the evacuation time in emergency planning zone(EPZ) of Uljin nuclear site. The parameters related to evacuation such as population density and transportation were represented by fuzzy membership functions. The main advantage of the proposed method is that it can provide for incorporating the opinions of experts and the site specific conditions in which protective actions are taken.
机译:借助于模糊理论的概念,已经开发出一种评估针对核事故的防护措施的有效性的方法。该方法用于评估乌金核电站应急预案区的疏散时间。与疏散有关的参数,例如人口密度和运输,用模糊隶属函数表示。所提出的方法的主要优点是,它可以提供专家意见和采取保护措施的特定地点条件的整合。

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