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Probabilistic Analysis of Events at Swiss Nuclear Power Plants

机译:瑞士核电厂事件的概率分析

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This paper presents the probabilistic analysis of operational events at Swiss Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) performed by the Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate (HSK). An approach was defined in order to obtain the plant-specific risk profile in terms of instantaneous Core Damage Frequency (CDF) for each Swiss NPP, taking into account the specific plant conditions induced by the occurrence of the reported operational events. The risk impact of each event was also assessed by estimating the Conditional Core Damage Probability (CCDP) for the plant configuration associated with the event. As a measure of accumulated risk, the cumulative Core Damage Probability (CDP) over one year of plant operation was calculated and subsequently compared to the plant baseline cumulative risk.
机译:本文介绍了由瑞士联邦核安全监察局(HSK)执行的瑞士核电厂(NPPs)运行事件的概率分析。为了获得针对每个瑞士核电厂的瞬时核心损坏频率(CDF)的工厂特定风险概况,定义了一种方法,其中要考虑到因报告的运行事件而引起的特定工厂条件。还通过估计与该事件相关的工厂配置的条件核心损坏概率(CCDP)来评估每个事件的风险影响。作为累积风险的一种度量,计算了工厂运营一年的累积核心损坏概率(CDP),然后将其与工厂基准累积风险进行比较。

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