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首页> 外文会议>International PhD Symposium in Civil Engineering vol.2; 20040616-19; Delft(NL) >Prediction model for operating costs of office buildings
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Prediction model for operating costs of office buildings

机译：办公楼运营成本预测模型

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摘要

This paper describes the life cycle and the regarding operating costs of office buildings and constructs a prediction model to properly estimate future costs. To forecast the economical impact of a building during its life cycle the scientific software tool "BUBI" was developed at the University of Technology Darmstadt. The appropriate prediction of the operating costs is essentially based on a simulation of the characteristics of the building. Costs like maintenance will be considered by benchmarks determined through the evaluation of empirical data. Furthermore the analysis of the cost-effectiveness, comparing qualitative and quantitative aspects of different execution solutions can be done with "BUBI". An office building variant is cost-effective if, on the basis of the life cycle costs analysis, it is determined to have the lowest costs of competing alternatives for a given amount of benefits. Therewith a scientifically founded decision for one of the execution variants is possible for investors and designers.
机译：本文描述了办公楼的生命周期和相关的运营成本，并构建了一个预测模型以正确估算未来成本。为了预测建筑物在其生命周期中的经济影响，达姆施塔特工业大学开发了科学软件工具“ BUBI”。运营成本的适当预测基本上是基于建筑物特征的模拟。像维护这样的成本将通过评估经验数据确定的基准来考虑。此外，可以使用“ BUBI”对成本效益进行分析，比较不同执行解决方案的定性和定量方面。如果根据生命周期成本分析确定在给定数量的收益下竞争性替代方案的成本最低，则办公大楼变型方案具有成本效益。因此，对于投资人和设计师来说，对于其中一种执行变型做出科学依据的决定是可能的。

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