首页> 外文会议>International Solar Cycle Studies (ISCS) Symposium 2003; Jun 23-28, 2003; Tatranska Lomnica, Slovak Republic >STUDY OF SOLAR-BASED INPUTS INTO SPACE WEATHER MODELS THAT PREDICT INTERPLANETARY SHOCK-ARRIVALS AT EARTH
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STUDY OF SOLAR-BASED INPUTS INTO SPACE WEATHER MODELS THAT PREDICT INTERPLANETARY SHOCK-ARRIVALS AT EARTH

机译:基于太阳的空间天气预报模型预测地球间星际地震的到来

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摘要

We compare interplanetary shocks observed at Earth in the time period January through May 2002 with shock-arrivals predicted, in the operational environment, by an ensemble of numerical models. Inputs to the models include metric type II radio bursts and halo/partial halo CME observations. We assess the consequences of the arrival of these interplanetary shocks at Earth by the strength of the geomagnetic activity, measured by Kp, that follows the shocks. The aim of this work is to provide information on how solar observations can be parameterised for input into fully time dependent, 3D MHD modelling codes for forecasting purposes.
机译:我们通过一组数值模型将2002年1月至2002年5月在地球上观测到的行星际冲击与在运行环境中预测的冲击到达进行了比较。该模型的输入包括II型度量无线电突发和晕圈/部分晕圈CME观测值。我们通过以地震之后的Kp来衡量的地磁活动强度,来评估这些行星际激波到达地球的后果。这项工作的目的是提供有关如何将太阳观测参数化以输入到完全依赖时间的3D MHD建模代码中以进行预测的信息。

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