ESTIMATION OF THE PROBABILITY OF HYDRAULIC-HYDROLOGICAL FAILURE OF DAMS

机译：DAMS液压-水力破坏概率的估计

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It is the objective of the proposed method to calculate and to minimize the risks of hydraulic failure of dams and to discover these risks at an early stage. A program has been developed to estimate hydraulic-hydrologic failure probabilities by means of the Monte-Carlo-Method, considering the three main components of freeboard design which are: 1. the flood inflow, inducing an elevated water level in the reservoir, 2. the wave generating wind, inducing wind set-up and wave run-up and 3. the initial water level, due to reservoir operation and preceeding events.

机译：所提出的方法的目的是计算和最小化大坝水力破坏的风险，并在早期发现这些风险。考虑到干舷设计的三个主要组成部分，开发了一个程序，通过蒙特卡洛方法估算水文水文破坏的可能性：1.洪水流入，导致水库水位升高； 2。 3.由于水库运行和之前发生的事件，产生风的波浪会引起风的建立和波浪的上升以及初始水位。

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来源
《International Workshop on Risk Analysis in Dam Safety Assessment, Jun 14-15, 1999, Taipei, Taiwan》|1999年|p.143-157|共15页
会议地点 Taipei(TW)
作者
R. POHL;
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作者单位

Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Applied Hydromechanics Dresden University of Technology D - 01062 Dresden, Germany;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类水利工程;
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ESTIMATION OF THE PROBABILITY OF HYDRAULIC-HYDROLOGICAL FAILURE OF DAMS

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