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Long-term Variability and Trends of Wave Climate in the Southern East China Sea and Northwestern Pacific Ocean from 1958 to 2009 – Wave Modeling Validation

机译:1958年至2009年中国东海南部和西北太平洋海浪气候的长期变化和趋势–海浪模型验证

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Typhoon waves play a major role in engineering and environmentalproblems. Our long-term goal is to investigate variability and trends oftyphoon waves over past 62 years. However, the parameters innumerical wave models need to be calibrated before a model can beapplied to a specific region. In this paper, we selected the 3 mostimportant parameters from the source term of the SWAN wave modeland subjected them to sensitivity analysis to determine which parameteris the most sensitive. After sensitivity analysis, we adopted the ARSmethod to find the optimal value of the parameter to which the SWANwave model is the most sensitive by comparing modeling results withobserved data at three buoys off the northeastern coastal waters ofTaiwan; the aim being to find optimal value of the parameter forimproved modeling of wave development. The procedure adopting theoptimal parameter in wave simulations did improve the accuracy of theSWAN wave model in comparison to default runs based on fieldobservations at three buoys.
机译:台风在工程和环境问题中起着重要作用。我们的长期目标是调查过去62年中台风的波动性和趋势。但是,在将模型应用到特定区域之前,需要先对参数无穷大的波浪模型进行校准。在本文中,我们从SWAN波模型的源项中选择了3个最重要的参数,并对其进行了敏感性分析,以确定哪个参数最敏感。经过敏感性分析后,我们采用ARS方法,通过将建模结果与台湾东北沿海海域三个浮标上的观测数据进行比较,找到了SWANwave模型最敏感的参数的最佳值。目的是找到参数的最佳值,以改进波浪发展的建模。与基于三个浮标的现场观测的默认运行相比,在波浪仿真中采用最佳参数的过程确实提高了SWAN波浪模型的准确性。

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