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首页> 外文会议>Law and technology >DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION OF A FORECASTING TOOL OF JUSTICE CHAINS
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DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION OF A FORECASTING TOOL OF JUSTICE CHAINS

机译：正义链预测工具的设计与实现

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摘要

A reliable estimation of the capacity required for the Dutchrnjustice chains in the near future is inevitable to implement arnpolicy that is capable to handle forthcoming judicial casesrnin a society. To come up with reliable estimations, anrnunderstanding of the vital processes in the justice chains isrnrequired. However, the Dutch justice chains are complexrnwith many more or less independent organisations.rnTherefore capturing the vital processes in a model is arnchallenging task. Research has pointed out that manyrnvariables are involved in these processes. Consequently,rnour model of the Dutch justice chain resulted in a large setrnof equations and variables. However, such a model isrnnecessary for the prediction of the required capacity in thernnear future. Since the impact of a variable may evolve overrntime, this means that the model of the Dutch justice chainsrnneeds to be maintained. Otherwise, the model may result inrnpoor prediction. Maintaining such a model manually is atrnbest a laborious and error-prone process. Therefore, thisrnpaper is devoted to the design and implementation of arnforecasting tool that is easy to maintain and that will helprnforecasters to reduce their workload and improve theirrnforecasts.
机译：要在不久的将来对荷兰司法链所需的能力进行可靠的估计，就无法实施能够处理社会中即将发生的司法案件的学习政策。为了得出可靠的估计，需要对司法链中的关键程序有一个了解。但是，荷兰的司法链非常复杂，或多或少有独立的组织。因此，在模型中捕获重要流程是一项艰巨的任务。研究指出，这些过程涉及许多变量。因此，荷兰司法链的nour模型导致了较大的setrnof方程和变量。但是，这种模型对于预测近期需求容量是不必要的。由于变量的影响可能随着时间的流逝而演变，这意味着需要维护荷兰司法链的模型。否则，该模型可能会导致预测不佳。手动维护这样的模型是最费力且容易出错的过程。因此，本白皮书致力于易于维护的网络预测工具的设计和实现，这将帮助预测者减少其工作量并改善其预测。

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  • 来源
    《Law and technology》|2007年|p.60-66|共7页
  • 会议地点 BerkeleyCA(US);BerkeleyCA(US)
  • 作者

    Debora Moolenaar; Sunil Choenni; Frans Leeuw;

  • 作者单位

    Dutch Ministry of Justice, Research Documentation Centre (WODC), The Netherlands d.moolenaar@minjus.nl;

    Dutch Ministry of Justice, Research Documentation Centre (WODC), The NetherlandsrnUniversity of Twente, Fac. of EEMCS, The Netherlands r.choenni@minjus.nl;

    Dutch Ministry of Justice, Research Documentation Centre (WODC), The Netherlands Maastricht University, Fac. of Law, The Netherlands f.leeuw@minjus.nl;

  • 会议组织
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 法律;
  • 关键词

    modelling; workload justice chains; forecasting; andrnarchitecture of a tool;

    机译：建模;工作量正义链;预测;工具的架构;

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