CAN WE TRUST LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS?

机译：我们可以信任长期的天气预测吗？

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Long-range weather forecasts are widely used in the energy industry, but too often their properties and limitations are not understood well enough. This chapter reviews the characteristics, methods and reliability of long-range weather prediction, and makes recommendations regarding its use. Despite their limited skill, long-range forecasts can still be a valuable tool for managing weather risk provided the necessary caution is exercised.

机译：远程天气预报在能源行业中被广泛使用，但是对它们的属性和局限性的了解往往不够充分。本章回顾了远程天气预报的特点，方法和可靠性，并提出了有关其用途的建议。尽管他们的技能有限，但只要采取必要的谨慎措施，远程预报仍可能是管理天气风险的宝贵工具。

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来源
《Management of weather and climate risk in teh energy industry》|2008年|P.227-239|共13页
会议地点 Santa Maria di Leuca(IT)
作者
PASCAL J. MAILIER;
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作者单位

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Avenue Circulaire 3,1180 Brussels, Belgium;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类安全科学;
关键词
long-range weather prediction; seasonal forecast; weather risk management; energy weather; weather forecast quality;

机译：远程天气预报；季节性预报；天气风险管理；能源天气；天气预报质量;

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CAN WE TRUST LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS?

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