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A preliminary investigation into the understanding of aircraft accident overrun x locations with and without normalised distances

机译：初步调查飞机事故超支X位置的理解，无规距离

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摘要

Previous descriptions of the accident location of landing and take-off overruns have used cumulative distributions (CCPD) that show, not surprisingly, that most x distances are short and longer distances are relatively rarer. The distributions are well-behaved and can be ‘modelled’ with an exponential function with a high degree of accuracy, as judged by R~2. But this is no substitute for understanding. It is well known that distances will be governed by aircraft and runway characteristics, including meteorological conditions and whether the aircraft veered off the runway, which will explain runway exit speed as well as the type of surface traversed after the runway is exited. In addition, the number and frangibility of the obstacles encountered will also have an important influence. This paper begins to explore a statistical model that takes these factors into account.
机译：前面描述着陆和起飞超支的事故位置已经使用累积分布（CCPD），令人惊讶的是，大多数X距离短且距离较长较长。分布是良好的，并且可以具有高精度的指数函数，可以是“建模”，由R〜2判断。但这不是理解的替代品。众所周知，距离将由飞机和跑道特性管辖，包括气象条件以及飞机是否从跑道转向，这将解释跑道出口速度以及跑道后横过的表面类型。此外，遇到的障碍的数量和脆性也将产生重要影响。本文开始探讨统计模型，以考虑这些因素。

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