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首页> 外文会议>IAC;International Astronautical Congress >IMPACT OF HUMAN FACTORS ON THE GROWING RATE OF A MARTIAN POPULATION
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IMPACT OF HUMAN FACTORS ON THE GROWING RATE OF A MARTIAN POPULATION

机译：人为因素对马尔他人口增长率的影响

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In a few decades, the problem of the permanent presence of humans on Mars will be addressed. With currentspace technology, it is not thinkable to send tons of resources every year from Earth to maintain the quality of life ofthe population during a long period of time. A sustainable development of the colony will therefore be possible onlyif the population grows and rapidly achieve a minimum number of persons in order to be able to develop andmaintain industrial activities that will allow self sufficiency relatively to the Earth. The goal of our study is toexamine possible impacts of human factors on the demographical evolution of the population during thatdevelopment. It is assumed in this study that the settlement is technologically feasible and that the threshold for theminimum number of persons will be achieved thanks to demographical growing with a negligible number ofimmigrants per year. First of all, demographical data from several countries have been examined and the impact ofhuman factors has been analysed. From these observations, we came to different options for a scenario of theMartian settlement and a simulator has been developed. The main conclusion of the proposed demographicalanalysis is that social factors such as religion, culture or public policy have a great impact on the growing rate.Simulations on the computer show that if appropriate options are chosen the population of the colony can easilyreach 50000 people in less than 500 years. However, if the growing rate is too high, the development might not besustainable any more. For instance, if the number of children is very high, their education would require themobilization of too many human resources. A trade-off has therefore to be found.
机译：在几十年内，人类在火星上永久存在的问题将得到解决。随着电流 太空技术，为了维持地球生命质量，每年从地球发送大量资源是不可思议的 在很长一段时间内的人口。因此，殖民地的可持续发展仅是可能的 如果人口增长并迅速达到最少人数，以便能够发展和 保持工业活动，以实现相对于地球的自给自足。我们研究的目的是 研究在此期间人为因素对人口的人口发展可能产生的影响 发展。在这项研究中，假定沉降在技术上是可行的，并且阈值为 由于人口增长，人口数量微不足道，人口数量将达到最低 每年移民。首先，检查了来自多个国家的人口数据， 人为因素进行了分析。从这些观察中，我们得出了针对以下情况的不同选择： 火星人定居点和模拟器已经开发。拟议人口统计学的主要结论 分析认为，宗教，文化或公共政策等社会因素对增长率产生很大影响。 计算机上的模拟显示，如果选择了适当的选项，则可以轻松地殖民地人口 在不到500年的时间里达到50000人。但是，如果增长率过高，则发展可能不尽人意。 永续经营。例如，如果孩子人数很多，他们的教育将要求 动员了太多的人力资源。因此必须找到一个折衷方案。

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