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Real Effective Exchange Rate Fluctuation and its Co-movement Relationship with Terms of Trade Based on Grey System Incidence Model Evidence from Five Main Trade Commodities

机译:基于灰色系统关联模型的五个主要贸易商品的真实有效汇率波动及其与贸易条件的联动关系

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Taking five main trade commodities of China as samples,grey system incidence model is employed to analyze the co-movement relationship between the real effective exchange rate (REER) and terms of trade (ToJ),which indicates that the fluctuation of REER has brought little influence to the ToT of particular commodities with undifferentiated grey absolute incidence degree,and the commodities with higher technology and capital intensive will be more probably affected by the fluctuation of REER based on grey relative and synthetical degree in ranking order as follows: Parts of Automatic Data Processing Equipment (PADPE) > Integrated Circuit (IC) >Steels > Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) > Petroleum Products (PP).The whole modeling processes adequately demonstrates the efficiency,robustness and applicability of grey system incidence model
机译:以中国的五种主要贸易商品为样本,采用灰色系统关联模型分析了实际有效汇率(REER)与贸易条件(ToJ)之间的联动关系,表明REER的波动几乎没有灰色绝对发生率没有区别的商品对ToT的影响,高科技和资本密集型商品的技术可能会受到基于灰色相对和综合程度的REER波动的影响,排列顺序如下:加工设备(PADPE)>集成电路(IC)>钢>液晶显示器(LCD)>石油产品(PP)。整个建模过程充分证明了灰色系统关联模型的效率,鲁棒性和适用性

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