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Electricity price forecasting — ARIMA model approach

机译:电价预测-ARIMA模型方法

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Electricity price forecasting is becoming more important in everyday business of power utilities. Good forecasting models can increase effectiveness of producers and buyers playing roles in electricity market. Price is also a very important element in investment planning process. This paper presents a forecasting technique to model day-ahead spot price using well known ARIMA model to analyze and forecast time series. The model is applied to time series consisting of day-ahead electricity prices from EPEX power exchange.
机译:在电力公司的日常业务中,电价预测变得越来越重要。良好的预测模型可以提高在电力市场中发挥作用的生产者和购买者的有效性。价格也是投资计划过程中非常重要的元素。本文提出了一种预测技术,该模型使用众所周知的ARIMA模型来分析和预测时间序列,以对日间现货价格进行建模。该模型适用于包含来自EPEX电力交易所的日前电价的时间序列。

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