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首页> 外文会议>2011 19th International Conference on Geoinformatics >Prediction on carbon emissions trend in Beijing Tianjing and Hebei Province
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Prediction on carbon emissions trend in Beijing Tianjing and Hebei Province

机译：北京和河北省碳排放趋势预测

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This paper employed the carbon dynamic model and IPCC cement model to estimate the amount of carbon emitted by energy and cement, and used CO2FIX model to predict the forest carbon sinks in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei Province from 2009 to 2050, then, this paper analyzed the influential factors and the contribution of forest carbon sinks to carbon emissions reduction. The main conclusions are as follows: taking forest carbon sinks into account, the carbon emissions of the three regions all show increase firstly, then, decrease, and the forest carbon sinks have no significant effect on carbon emissions reduction; the peak years of carbon emissions of Beijing and Tianjin are very close, which are 2029 and 2030 respectively, however, the peak year of Hebei Province is 2039; the forest carbon sinks is decreasing in Beijing and Tianjin, the opposite situation occurs in Hebei province as well.
机译：本文采用碳动力学模型和IPCC水泥模型估算能源和水泥的碳排放量，并使用CO2FIX模型预测2009年至2050年北京，天津和河北省的森林碳汇，然后，本文进行了分析。森林碳汇的影响因素及其对减少碳排放的贡献。主要结论如下：考虑到森林的碳汇，这三个地区的碳排放量均呈现先上升后下降的趋势，而森林碳汇对减少碳排放量没有显着影响。北京和天津的碳排放峰值年份非常接近，分别是2029年和2030年，而河北省的碳排放峰值年份是2039年。北京和天津的森林碳汇正在减少，河北省也出现了相反的情况。

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