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首页> 外文会议>FRCFM;International conference on financial risk and corporate finance management >Empirical Designing Crop Insurance Premium Based on Survival Analysis Actuarial Method
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Empirical Designing Crop Insurance Premium Based on Survival Analysis Actuarial Method

机译：基于生存分析精算方法的作物保险保费经验设计

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Actuarial method of crop insurance premium design is a key element for establishing a successful Agricultural risk management program. Due to limited farm crop yield data availability, a vast majority of Chinese crop insurance premium design is based either past general experience or a very cursive short period of crop yield loss data. As a result, very often the premium standards made by the Chinese crop insurance company hardly reflect the large-number rule a commonly applied principle by insurance industry. In this paper we are going to present an alternative crop insurance premium design method socalled Survival Analysis Method (SAM). The main objective of this study involves three-fold: (1) systematically introduce the SAM model that is commonly used in biological life experiment and human longevity insurance study but rarely utilized in crop insurance research; (2) conduct crop insurance premium design for rice, corn and soybean using the actual crop yield data collected in Panjin, Liaoning Province; and (3) address the appropriateness of SAM model application in crop insurance program and discuss some related crop insurance policy issues with a particular emphasis in crop insurance premium design.
机译：作物保险保费设计的精算方法是建立成功的农业风险管理计划的关键要素。由于农作物产量数据的可获得性有限，中国绝大多数农作物保险保费设计要么基于过去的一般经验，要么基于非常短期的农作物产量损失数据。结果，中国农作物保险公司制定的保费标准常常很难反映保险业普遍采用的大原则。在本文中，我们将提出一种替代的农作物保险保费设计方法，即生存分析方法（SAM）。本研究的主要目的包括三个方面：（1）系统地介绍了生物生命实验和人寿保险研究中普遍采用的农作物保险研究中很少采用的SAM模型; （2）利用辽宁盘锦采集的实际农作物产量数据，进行水稻，玉米和大豆的农作物保险保费设计; （3）讨论了SAM模型在作物保险计划中的适用性，并讨论了一些相关的作物保险政策问题，其中特别强调了作物保险费的设计。

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