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The negative growth of agricultural technical progress Base on the quantitative analysis of time series data in China (1978-2010)

机译:农业技术进步的负增长基于中国时间序列数据定量分析(1978-2010)

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People always say, with the progress of technology, the economy increase a lot. But how much technical progress can affect economic growth, scholars have different opinions. In the field of agriculture in China, there have some studies, such as measure the contribution rate of agricultural technical progress in some regions of China or use 10 years data to calculate the contribution rate of agricultural technical progress. But there has not a study using this long time data to measure the contribution rate of agricultural technical progress since the reform and opening in China. In this paper, we use Solow Complementary method to measure the influence of technical progress to economic growth in China agriculture. We use as many year data as possible to ensure reliable results. And we found that the results are interesting, the contribution rate of agricultural technical progress is negative. It seems not accord with the fact, we will give some explanations to this phenomenon.
机译:人们总是说,随着技术的进步,经济增加了很多。 但是有多少技术进步会影响经济增长,学者有不同的意见。 在中国农业领域,有一些研究,如衡量中国某些地区农业技术进步的贡献率或使用10年数据来计算农业技术进步的贡献率。 但是,自中国改革开放以来,还没有使用这种很长时间数据的研究来衡量农业技术进步的贡献。 在本文中,我们使用Solow互补方法来衡量技术进步对中国农业经济增长的影响。 我们使用尽可能多的数据,以确保可靠的结果。 而且我们发现结果很有趣,农业技术进步的贡献率是消极的。 似乎不符合这一事实,我们将对这种现象提供一些解释。

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