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System Dynamics Modeling of Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles

机译：替代燃料汽车扩散的系统动力学建模

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With the intensification of global energy crisis and the growing importance of environmental protection, the promotion of alternative fuel vehicles becomes an inevitable trend. The promotion of alternative fuel vehicles lies in the development of alternative fuel vehicle technology. By means of patent data analysis, this paper explores the change of alternative fuel vehicle technology, studies the stage of technology life cycle which alternative fuel vehicle technology is in, and thus to predict the market holdings of alternative fuel vehicles in future. By considering the factors which affect the diffusion of alternative fuel vehicles, such as technology, government grants, construction of fuel-filling stations, this article uses system dynamics to build a causality iagram and a flow chart diagram of diffusion of alternative fuel vehicles. On this basis, the diffusion process of alternative fuel vehicles is discussed.
机译：随着全球能源危机的加剧和环境保护的日益重要，推广替代燃料汽车已成为必然趋势。代用燃料汽车的发展在于代用燃料汽车技术的发展。通过专利数据分析，探索替代燃料汽车技术的变化，研究替代燃料汽车技术所处的技术生命周期阶段，从而预测未来替代燃料汽车的市场占有率。通过考虑影响替代燃料车辆扩散的因素，例如技术，政府拨款，加油站的建设，本文利用系统动力学来构建因果关系图和替代燃料车辆扩散的流程图。在此基础上，讨论了代用燃料汽车的扩散过程。

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