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The Relevance of Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Approaches for Assessing Adaptive Capacity and Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems

机译:模糊认知映射方法与社会生态系统适应能力和复原力评估的相关性

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Social-Ecological Systems (SES) are complex due to uncertainty related to their nature and their functions. In these systems, decision-making processes and practices of managers are often value-laden and subjective, dominated by their world-views and their own knowledge. People's knowledge are central in building their adaptive capacity but are seldom taken into account by traditional decision-making approaches in modelling SES management. In this paper, we introduce a Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping approach to study the dynamic behaviour of managers' systems of practices. As a case study, we aim to assess farmers' forage management under different climatic scenarios. Results show that summer drought have varying consequences according to farmers' systems of practices. Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping approaches are particularly relevant in studying systems of practices in SES. Their utilisation is promising for the evaluation of adaptive capacity and resilience in SES at local scale (exploitation, community) and regional scale (ecological areas, country).
机译:由于其性质和功能存在不确定性,社会生态系统(SES)十分复杂。在这些系统中,管理者的决策过程和实践通常是充满价值的和主观的,主要由他们的世界观和他们自己的知识决定。人们的知识是建立适应能力的关键,但是在建立SES管理模型时,传统的决策方法很少考虑到人们的知识。在本文中,我们引入了一种模糊认知映射方法来研究管理者实践体系的动态行为。作为案例研究,我们旨在评估不同气候情景下农民的饲草管理。结果表明,根据农民的实践体系,夏季干旱会产生不同的后果。模糊认知映射方法与研究SES中的实践系统特别相关。它们的利用有望在地方规模(开发,社区)和区域规模(生态区域,国家)评估SES的适应能力和适应力。

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