Majority of water reservoirs are located in conditions of torrential floods. Difficulty of flow control by such water reservoirs consists in next: different requirements can take place in same within-year intervals during different years. Irrigation requests the big water storage in reservoir, but during the same time a low water level of the reservoir is more preferred for safe drafts during possible catastrophic flood. Accordingly, main aim of the research is search of profitable and safe rules of flow control by water reservoir. The aim has required of solving of next problems: to choose a duration of within-year interval for simulative models of reservoir operation; to develop stochastic model of the runoff to water reservoir; to develop the logical conditions for flow control by water reservoir with help of short-term forecasting of the runoff; to check the developed flow control rules with help of simulation of reservoir operation. Krasnodar water reservoir has been chosen for research. That is located in the southern part of the Russia on the Cuban River. A big part of the river basin is occupied by mountain territory and therefore a time of concentration of maximum water discharges is small. The river can have dangerous rain-ice floods during summer period of biggest water demand for rice irrigation systems.
展开▼
