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Win-lose, Lose-lose and Win-win Stabilization Policies for a Growth Cycle

机译:增长周期的双输,双输稳定策略

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This paper considers the Fanti and Manfredi Goodwinian two-dimensional model that stabilizes growth cycle by profit-sharing, although a long term employment rate declines, whereas the stationary relative wage is not affected. For checking robustness of profit-sharing, flexible capacity utilization is included. The Phillips - Wolfstetter - Flaschel 'capricious' investment function destroys stability of a non-trivial stationary state. Adding 'neoclassically' balanced government taxes and expenditures results in attaining stable stationary state again in a three-dimensional model. Yet stationary labour share (even gross) and stationary employment ratio becomes lower than in the initial model. This paper revises the preceding equations. The first non-linear three-dimensional model implements proportional and derivative control over growth rate of profit. This rate depends on a gap between the indicated and current employment ratios and on growth rate of this ratio. The second four-dimensional model redefines this combined control applying excess income levy that equals subsidy. The previous models enable extreme condition tests for these non-Goodwinian models. Parametric policy optimization supported by Vensim shortens a transient to a deliberately high target employment ratio without lowering stationary relative wage against the Goodwinian models. The proposed policies enhance stability and efficiency of capital accumulation; they also provide stronger gains for workers' well-being.
机译:本文考虑了Fanti和Manfredi Goodwinian的二维模型,该模型通过利润共享稳定了增长周期,尽管长期就业率下降了,而固定的相对工资却没有受到影响。为了检查利润共享的稳健性,还包括灵活的容量利用率。菲利普斯-沃尔夫斯特-弗拉舍尔的“反复无常”投资功能破坏了非平凡稳态的稳定性。增加“新古典”平衡的政府税收和支出,可以在三维模型中再次获得稳定的稳态。然而,固定劳动份额(甚至是总劳动量)和固定就业率变得低于初始模型。本文修改了前面的方程式。第一个非线性三维模型对利润的增长率实施比例和微分控制。该比率取决于所显示的就业率与当前就业率之间的差距以及该比率的增长率。第二个四维模型使用等于补贴的超额收入征费重新定义了此合并控制。以前的模型可以对这些非Goodwinian模型进行极端条件测试。 Vensim支持的参数化政策优化将瞬态转换为故意达到的较高目标就业率,而又不会降低针对Goodwinian模型的固定相对工资。拟议的政策提高了资本积累的稳定性和效率;它们还为工人的福祉提供了更大的收益。

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