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Wind generation influence on market splitting: The Iberian spot electricity market

机译：风力发电对市场分裂的影响：伊比利亚现货电力市场

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This paper aims to assess the influence of wind power generation on the market splitting behaviour of the Iberian electricity spot markets. Iberia stands as an ideal case study, where the high level deployment of wind power is observed, together with an early implementation of the market splitting mechanism between the Portuguese and the Spanish spot electricity markets. Non-parametric models are used to express the probability response for market splitting of day-ahead spot electricity prices as a function of wind and hydro power, together with the available transmission capacity and electricity demand. Non-parametric models overcome known limitations of previously used parametric models, providing additional detail and more efficiently. Model results show that there is an increase of market splitting probability with simultaneous higher wind and hydro power generation and lower available transfer capacity, suggesting that cross-border interconnection development should be linked to the increase in renewable power installation capacity, both current and forecasted.
机译：本文旨在评估风力发电对伊比利亚电力现货市场的市场分裂行为的影响。伊比利亚是一个理想的案例研究，可以观察到风能的高水平部署，并且早日实施了葡萄牙和西班牙现货电力市场之间的市场分割机制。非参数模型用于表示日头现货电价的市场划分与风电和水电的函数关系，以及可用的输电能力和用电需求的概率响应。非参数模型克服了以前使用的参数模型的已知局限性，从而提供了更多详细信息，并且效率更高。模型结果表明，市场分割的可能性增加，同时风力发电和水力发电量增加，可用转移容量降低，这表明跨境互连发展应与当前和预测的可再生能源装机容量的增加联系在一起。

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