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首页> 外文会议>IAEE international conference;International Association for Energy Economics >New alignments and the security of supply in the EU countries: investigating the role of Russia and Iran with a game theoretic approach
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New alignments and the security of supply in the EU countries: investigating the role of Russia and Iran with a game theoretic approach

机译：欧盟国家的新格局和供应安全：用博弈论方法研究俄罗斯和伊朗的作用

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According to the results of this study we can investigate the new alignments in geopolitical conditions in the Middle East and its impact on energy supply in EU countries. The Nash equilibrium corresponds to the situation in which Iran is cooperating with China and Russia is cooperating with Qatar. So Iran can increase its market share in china and the East and South East countries of Asia. In addition Iran can develops the South Pars phases with the foreign investment of china and can be a free rider in the high price gas market which appeared by coalition of Russia and Qatar. Furthermore because of Iran’s penetration in Chinsa market, Russia loses its share in china and inevitably it should increase its pressure on EU with the help of Qatar. But in contrast Iran has the incentive to enter the EU market and compete with Russia. Therefore we conclude that the significant strategy which EU can pursue is cooperating with Iran and participating in large projects like pipe line establishment or South Pars development to diversify its energy supply sources and mitigate the Russia’s pressure.
机译：根据这项研究的结果，我们可以研究中东地缘政治条件的新趋势及其对欧盟国家能源供应的影响。纳什均衡对应于伊朗与中国合作，俄罗斯与卡塔尔合作的情况。因此，伊朗可以增加在中国以及亚洲的东方和东南亚国家的市场份额。此外，伊朗可以利用中国的外国投资来开发南帕尔斯阶段，并且可以在俄罗斯和卡塔尔联军出现的高价天然气市场上搭便车。此外，由于伊朗在中国市场的渗透，俄罗斯失去了在中国的份额，因此，在卡塔尔的帮助下，俄罗斯不可避免地会增加对欧盟的压力。但是相比之下，伊朗有动机进入欧盟市场并与俄罗斯竞争。因此，我们得出结论，欧盟可以追求的重大战略是与伊朗合作，并参与大型项目，如管道建设或南帕尔斯开发，以使其能源供应来源多样化并减轻俄罗斯的压力。

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