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Predicting Group Decisions Based on Group Information Seeking and Assembly Behavior

机译:基于团体信息寻求和装配行为的团体决策预测

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In group decision making situations, group members may have or may express preferences for decisionalternatives only indirectly or incompletely, based on goals and on information collected from the environment.For example, group members undertaking a route-planning task may express a preference only forroute segments, such as traveling from home to the supermarket. The method developed in this researchuses information collected on task structure and on group information seeking and (implied) preferences topredict group decisions on a dynamic decision making task. An advantage of the method is that it reliesupon data collection methods that are either unobtrusive (e.g. clickstream logging) or minimally intrusive(i.e. recording of conversations) to inform predictions. The method is illustrated using data from the performanceof a simulated emergency response task by experienced emergency response personnel. Potentialuse of the proposed method in predicting group decisions in certain dynamic decision making settings isdiscussed.
机译:在小组决策的情况下,小组成员可能会或可能会表达对决策的偏爱 根据目标和从环境中收集的信息,只能间接或不完全地选择其他方案。 例如,承担路线计划任务的小组成员可能只表示对 路线段,例如从家到超市。本研究开发的方法 使用收集的有关任务结构和组信息搜索以及(隐含)首选项的信息 在动态决策任务上预测团队决策。该方法的优点是它依赖 基于不干扰(例如点击流日志记录)或干扰最小的数据收集方法 (即记录对话)以告知预测。使用性能数据说明该方法 经验丰富的紧急响应人员进行的模拟紧急响应任务的说明。潜在的 在某些动态决策制定环境中使用拟议方法预测群体决策的方法是 讨论过。

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