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Orbital Congestion: Assessing the Prospects for Effective Governance Structures Through Regime Theory

机译：轨道拥挤：通过制度理论评估有效治理结构的前景

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Orbital congestion, and the dangers it poses to the safety and sustainability of space activities, has been increasingly calling for the establishment of sound international measures to minimize the impact of debris on satellite operations, to mitigate the creation of new debris, and to reduce the population of debris in orbit. Yet, a number of political and legal hurdles prove to stand in the way. Through the application of a regime-based analysis, this paper assesses the prospects of the currently on-going efforts to create effective governance structures to cope with the three main facets of the debris challenge, namely: debris mitigation, debris removal and space traffic management. Game Theory pay-off matrixes (e.g. Stag Hunt, Battle of the Sexes, Prisoners Dilemma, among the others) are introduced to explain different configurations of interests and potential variation in outcomes. The study will in particular put the spotlight on how available options are structurally constrained, and explain why and how the prospects for achieving success vary across specific issues. The innovative character of this paper is that it provides new tools and perspectives to understand the nature of the challenges faced by the space community and facilitate the identification of the appropriate mechanisms that will need to be put in place in order to ensure a safe and sustainable utilization of the space environment.
机译：轨道拥挤及其对空间活动的安全性和可持续性构成的危险越来越多地要求建立合理的国际措施，以尽量减少碎片对卫星运行的影响，减轻新碎片的产生并减少轨道上的碎片数量。然而，事实证明，许多政治和法律障碍都在阻碍。通过基于政权的分析，本文评估了当前为建立有效的治理结构以应对碎片挑战的三个主要方面，即减缓碎片，清除碎片和空间交通管理而正在进行的努力的前景。 。引入了博弈论收益矩阵（例如，雄鹿猎杀，性别之战，囚徒困境等）来解释利益的不同配置和结果的潜在变化。该研究将特别着重于如何在结构上限制可用选项，并解释为什么以及在特定问题上实现成功的前景如何不同。本文的创新之处在于，它提供了新的工具和观点，以了解航天界面临的挑战的性质，并有助于确定为确保安全和可持续发展而需要采取的适当机制。利用空间环境。

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