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Simulating Population Behavior: Transportation Mode, Green Technology, and Climate Change

机译:模拟人口行为:运输方式,绿色技术和气候变化

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This paper presents a decision tool intended to help achieve the goal of reduction in Green House Gas (GHG) emissions in the greater Philadelphia region by the year 2050. The goal is to explore and build a pre-prototype to evaluate the value of the role for agents, alternative data sources (Census, energy reports, surveys, etc.), GIS modeling, and various social science theories of human behavior. Section 2 explains our initial research on an Agent Based Model (ABM) built upon the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and the Discrete Decision Choice model (DDC) to model consumer technology adoption. The users can utilize the proposed ABM to investigate the role of attitude, social networks, and economics upon consumer choice of vehicle and transportation mode. Finally, we conclude with results on agent decisions for which transit mode to use and whether to adopt greener technologies.
机译:本文提出了一种决策工具,旨在帮助实现到2050年在大费城地区减少温室气体(GHG)排放的目标。目标是探索并建立一个原型来评估作用的价值用于代理,替代数据源(人口普查,能源报告,调查等),GIS建模以及各种人类行为的社会科学理论。第2部分介绍了我们对基于代理行为模型(ABM)的初步研究,该模型基于计划行为理论(TPB)和离散决策选择模型(DDC)来建模消费者技术的采用。用户可以利用提出的ABM来调查态度,社交网络和经济学在消费者选择车辆和运输方式时的作用。最后,我们得出关于代理商决定使用哪种运输方式以及是否采用绿色技术的结果。

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