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The epidemiological approach to information security incidents forecasting for decision making systems

机译:决策系统信息安全事件的流行病学预测方法

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Existing approaches to modeling epidemics in biological and the computer world are analyzed. Analogies and differences of epidemics in the biological and computer worlds were established. The obvious form of mathematical models for prediction of information and cyber-attacks dynamics was proposed. The latent period features of infections were analyzed. Opportunities of not destruction of alien objects in biological and computer systems were discussed. The conditions of deterministic chaos occurrence in the simulation are analyzed.
机译:分析了生物学和计算机世界中流行病建模的现有方法。建立了生物学和计算机世界中流行病的类比和差异。提出了用于预测信息和网络攻击动态的数学模型的明显形式。分析了感染的潜伏期特征。讨论了不破坏生物和计算机系统中的外来物体的机会。分析了仿真中确定性混沌发生的条件。

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