A Combined Model for Analysis and Projection of the Regional Air Temperature Dynamics

机译：区域气温动态分析与预测的组合模型

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摘要

A combined approach to the climate modeling is presented, making use of globally averaged energy balance climate model (EBM) and multiple regression analysis of relations between averaged regional air temperatures and EBM transient temperature responses to perturbations of the thermal radiation balance of the global climate system both by anthropogenic (change in greenhouse gases and aerosols atmospheric concentrations) and natural factors (solar and volcanic activity), as well as indices of atmospheric circulation and the Earth's rotation velocity. It has been demonstrated that the scheme presented is a simple and effective tool for analysis and prediction of air temperature variations on a regional scale.

机译：提出了一种气候建模的组合方法，该方法利用了全球平均能量平衡气候模型（EBM）以及对区域平均气温与EBM瞬态温度对全球气候系统热辐射平衡扰动的响应之间的关系的多元回归分析包括人为因素（温室气体和气溶胶大气浓度的变化）和自然因素（太阳和火山活动），以及大气环流和地球自转速度的指标。事实证明，所提出的方案是一种简单有效的工具，可用于分析和预测区域范围内的气温变化。

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《International symposium on atmospheric and ocean optics: atmospheric physics》|2017年|1046661.1-1046661.6|共6页
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Klimenko V.V; Mikushina O.V; Tereshin A.G;
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global energy balance model; anthropogenic and natural climate factors; temperature responses; multiple linear regression; regional air temperature projections; applications in energy;

机译：全球能源平衡模型;人为和自然气候因素;温度响应;多元线性回归;区域气温预测;能源应用;

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A Combined Model for Analysis and Projection of the Regional Air Temperature Dynamics

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