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Structural Dynamics, Economic Growth and Macroeconomic Policy in Russia

机译:俄罗斯的结构动力学,经济增长和宏观经济政策

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The purpose of the research is to determine the conditions for a new model of economic growth in Russia. The subject is the economic structure of the Russian economy. The research methodology is structure analysis, the pair correlation method. The result of the application of these methods is the determination of the sensitivity of the contribution to the growth rate of the components of Russia's GDP to macroeconomic instruments, as well as the degree of their influence on GDP over the considered time interval. Using the pair correlation method, it was found that inflation did not significantly slow down the economic growth of Russia in the period 2001-2018, the increase in the money supply M2 stimulated growth, as well as lower portage rates. It is also shown that structural policy is an indispensable way of creating a new growth model in Russia, and reduced only to palliative measures in the form of institutional changes, creating an environment for business and the like, without changing sectoral economic proportions, it will not ensure the creation of economic growth of a new quality. One way to rectify sectoral interactions is to reduce risk in manufacturing sectors and equalize returns between the transaction, raw materials and manufacturing sectors of the Russian economy.
机译:该研究的目的是确定俄罗斯建立新的经济增长模式的条件。主题是俄罗斯经济的经济结构。研究方法是结构分析,对相关法。使用这些方法的结果是确定对俄罗斯GDP组成部分的增长率对宏观经济手段的贡献的敏感性,以及在所考虑的时间间隔内它们对GDP的影响程度。使用成对相关法,发现通货膨胀并没有显着减慢俄罗斯在2001-2018年期间的经济增长,货币供应量M2的增加刺激了增长,以及较低的运输率。还表明,结构性政策是在俄罗斯建立新的增长模式的必不可少的方式,并且仅以体制变革的形式减少为姑息措施,为企业等创造环境,而无需改变部门经济比例,它将无法确保创造新的经济增长质量。纠正部门相互作用的一种方法是降低制造业的风险,并使俄罗斯经济的交易,原材料和制造业之间的回报均等。

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