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Modelling of the Complex Societal Problem of Establishing a National Energy Sufficiency Competence

机译：建立国家能源充足能力的复杂社会问题的模型

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Complex societal problems require a multidisciplinary and multi-method approach to develop models that can support the development of solutions. General morphological analysis is a qualitative method to extract information from experts through facilitation and the use of customized software. Ontologies provide semantic representation of knowledge bases together with automated reasoning capabilities. These two approaches, combined with the use of concept maps, provide an integrated approach which can be used to understand complex and ill-structured problem domains and to aid in business modelling, strategy and scenario development and finally, decision-making. The resulting models are subjective constructs reflecting the knowledge and understanding of the analysts. Subsequent synthesis of new understanding and decisions rely on the robust validation and verification of the underlying logic and assumptions of the conceptual models. Morphological Analysis and ontological constructs are applied in terms of an integrated Morphological Ontology Design Engineering methodology (MODE), which is based on Design Science. The paper is developed around the opportunity of scoping the applied research competence required to support a nation's progress toward energy sufficiency. This paper presents a complex fused model for national energy sufficiency in New Zealand. The approach can be used to address other ill-structured complex societal problems.
机译：复杂的社会问题需要采用多学科和多方法的方法来开发可以支持解决方案开发的模型。常规形态分析是一种定性方法，可通过促进和使用定制软件从专家那里提取信息。本体提供知识库的语义表示以及自动推理功能。这两种方法与概念图的使用相结合，提供了一种集成方法，可用于理解复杂且结构不良的问题域，并有助于业务建模，策略和场景开发以及最终决策。由此产生的模型是主观的结构，反映了分析师的知识和理解。新的理解和决策的后续综合依赖于对概念模型的基础逻辑和假设的可靠验证。形态分析和本体构造是根据基于设计科学的集成形态本体设计工程方法论（MODE）进行的。本文围绕确定支持一个国家能源充足性进步所需的应用研究能力的机会而开发。本文提出了一个针对新西兰国家能源充足性的复杂融合模型。该方法可用于解决其他结构不良的复杂社会问题。

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