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A Model of Decision Makings with Predictions

机译:有预测的决策模型

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摘要

This paper proposes a model of decision makings under strong constraints that explains the differences among novices and skilled persons. The model introduces the decision modules that are generated through experiences at the conscious level and gradually move to unconscious level. Predictions are executed in decision modules to evaluate the plausibility of decisions. While the multiple decision generation and evaluation is executed sequentially in novices, skilled persons are able to generate and evaluate decision candidates simultaneously, executed in parallel at the unconscious level.
机译:本文提出了在强约束条件下的决策模型,该模型解释了新手和技术人员之间的差异。该模型介绍了决策模块,这些决策模块是通过有意识的经验生成的,并逐渐移至无意识的水平。预测在决策模块中执行,以评估决策的合理性。在新手中顺序执行多项决策生成和评估时,熟练的技术人员能够同时生成和评估决策候选者,并在无意识的水平上并行执行。

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