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An Integrated Methodology for New, Commercial Potential-oriented Technology Selection

机译：一种新的，以商业潜力为导向的技术选择的综合方法论

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摘要

Selection of technologies is one of the most challenging tasks at national, industrial and enterprise level. It is difficult to clarify the right technology alternatives because the number of technologies is increasing and the technologies are becoming more and more complex. The demands for technology evaluation have increased. However, technology evaluation in nature is an intractable task and existing methods for technology evaluation are subject to drawbacks and limitations. The research presented here reviews the integrated methodologies of new technologies evaluation. And the definition of technology commercial potential was given and a prescriptive assessment framework of new technology commercial potential was proposed. This study developed an integrated approach for new technology evaluation and selection combining the foresight and text mining, which has the advantage of fully consideration of the expert panel opinion and the existing bibliometrics and patent database, and combination the objective and subjective factors to give a comprehensive evaluation on the technology commercial potential.
机译：技术选择是国家，工业和企业级最具挑战性的任务之一。由于技术的数量在增加并且技术变得越来越复杂，因此很难弄清合适的技术替代方案。对技术评估的需求已经增加。但是，本质上，技术评估是一项艰巨的任务，现有的技术评估方法存在缺陷和局限性。本文介绍的研究回顾了新技术评估的综合方法。给出了技术商业潜力的定义，并提出了对新技术商业潜力的描述性评估框架。这项研究开发了一种结合了远见和文本挖掘的新技术评估和选择的集成方法，该方法的优点是充分考虑了专家小组的意见以及现有的文献计量学和专利数据库，并结合了客观和主观因素，从而提供了一个综合的方法。对技术商业潜力的评估。

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