Run-off-Road Accident Prediction Model for Two-Lane Highway

机译：两车道公路小径事故预测模型

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A brief literature review on run-off-road (ROR) accident prediction model was made. Road geometry, traffic volume, accidents, roadside hardware and features data of 31 rural two-lane highways (total 740 kilometers) were collected to develop ROR accident prediction models. Based on four types of statistical distributions, i.e. Poisson, Negative Binomial, Zero-Inflated Poisson and Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial, ROR accident frequency, fatality and injury models were built. Elasticity analysis estimated the effects of influential factors in these models such as roadway geometry, truck traffic.

机译：对越野（ROR）事故预测模型进行了简要的文献综述。收集了31条农村两车道高速公路（总740公里）的道路几何形状，交通量，事故，路边硬件和特征数据，以开发ROR事故预测模型。基于四种类型的统计分布，即泊松，负二项式，零膨胀泊松和零膨胀负二项式，建立了ROR事故频率，死亡率和伤害模型。弹性分析估计了这些模型中影响因素的影响，例如巷道几何形状，卡车交通状况。

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《The 2008 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology(2008年安全科学技术国际会议)论文集》|2008年|2016-2020|共5页
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LI Changcheng; ZHANG Gaoqiang; LI Wei;
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roadside safety; accident; prediction model; elasticity analysis; statistical distribution; Poisson; negative binomial; zero-inflated Poisson; zero-inflated negative binomial;

机译：道路安全;事故;预测模型;弹性分析;统计分布;泊松;负二项式;零膨胀泊松;零膨胀负二项式;

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1. Random parameter models for accident prediction on two-lane undivided highways in India [J] . R.R. Dinu, A. Veeraragavan Journal of Safety Research . 2011,第1期

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2. Accidents Prediction Model based on Speed Reduction on Spanish Two-Lane Rural Highways [J] . Juan De O?a, Laura Garach Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences . 2012,第2期

机译：基于减速的西班牙两车道农村公路事故预测模型
3. Development of comprehensive accident models for two-lane rural highways using exposure, geometry, consistency and context variables [J] . Salvatore Cafiso, Alessandro Di Graziano, Giacomo Di Silvestro, Accident Analysis and Prevention . 2010,第4期

机译：使用暴露，几何形状，一致性和上下文变量开发用于两车道农村公路的综合事故模型
4. DEVELOPING ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODEL OF TWO-LANE HIGHWAY ON THE PLATEAU [C] . Bingbing Feng, Yulong He, Guixian Qu, International symposium on computer and electrical engineering;国际工程技术协会 . 2017

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5. Evaluation of the highway safety manual crash prediction model for rural two-lane highway segments in Kansas. [D] . Lubliner, Howard. 2011

机译：堪萨斯州农村两车道公路段的公路安全人工碰撞预测模型的评估。
6. Driver Vision Based Perception-Response Time Prediction and Assistance Model on Mountain Highway Curve [O] . Yi Li, Yuren Chen 2017

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7. DEVELOPING ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODEL OF TWO-LANE HIGHWAY ON THE PLATEAU [O] . Bingbing Feng, Yulong He, Guixian Qu, 2017

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8. Accident Prediction Models for Two-Lane Rural Highways [R] . Kalokota, K. R., Seneviratne, P. N. 1994

机译：双车道乡村公路事故预测模型

Run-off-Road Accident Prediction Model for Two-Lane Highway

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