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首页> 外文会议>2008 International Conference on Advances in Product Development and Reliability（2008年产品开发与可靠性进展国际会议）论文集 >Learning from History:the Reliability of Experts and Expert Systems
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Learning from History:the Reliability of Experts and Expert Systems

机译：向历史学习：专家和专家系统的可靠性

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摘要

Engineering design must be cost-effective over its complete life cycle and this necessitatesa statistical approach to product and service reliability.A particular design therefore has a finiteprobability of failure during its lifetime and this has implications in terms of ensuring that designprocedures,management of design,and operation and inspection are appropriate,effective andsufficient.Sophisticated expert system software packages have enabled wide access to rapiddevelopment to prototype and production stages.The expert knowledge encapsulated in such systemsmay be inadvertently used outside its intended application envelope,leading to unexpected andunwelcome failures.This paper highlights the role of failure analysis and fractography in the contextof product reliability.It will present case studies illustrating typical structural reliability problemsthat highlight issues connected with the 'reliability' of experts in assessing the reasons for failure.
机译：工程设计必须在整个生命周期内都具有成本效益，这需要采用统计方法来确保产品和服务的可靠性。因此，特定设计在其整个生命周期内都具有有限的失败概率，这对于确保设计过程，设计管理，完善的专家系统软件包使开发人员可以快速访问原型和生产阶段。封装在此类系统中的专家知识可能会在其预定的应用范围之外无意中使用，从而导致意外的和不受欢迎的故障。这篇论文重点介绍了故障分析和断层摄影在产品可靠性方面的作用。它将通过案例研究说明典型的结构可靠性问题，这些问题突出了与专家在评估故障原因时的“可靠性”有关的问题。

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